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General Commander | 5/1/2016 | More

Security Prediction

Prediction is one of themost important basics and the initial preparation phases of planning; it is, simultaneously, an intellectual activity that is related to the existence of the human activity. The efficiency of managing crises and disasters is essentially related to the importance of the scientific prediction of the environmental developments, which are usually out of the organization of the institution control, which enables us to set effective and appropriate policies. The suitable planning for the future can only be achieved through adopting prediction of crises and disasters before they happen. That is why knowing, expecting or predicting the future risks is of great significance as it helps in preparing the suitable equipments, completing the preparations, and developing and upgrading the methods and mechanisms in the light prediction which became inevitable for all institutions worldwide. Dear brothers, Therefore, prediction is of great importance for expecting the future, the security planning and for promoting the preventive security approach as well as training cadres to implement the quality methods in future prediction. Prediction is an important part of planning, setting an approach and setting a strategy that shall be implemented on the light of developments that may occur in the near or far future. So, we can count the security outcomes of prediction such as reducing fault possibilities, promoting the efficiency in carrying out the task, determining the responsibilities, recognizing the required period for preparing and performing the task, following up the performance and scaling the understanding level of the trainees. Staff members and other cadres shall be trained on prediction skills in various security policing fields, in a bid to be acquainted with ways of facing recent developments and incidents, predicting crises, ways of setting potentials, avoiding risks, the scientific analysis methods, counting ant its outcomes as well as searching processes after prediction using the latest communication means. Dear brothers, The crises experts, in our current time, has to diagnose correctly and scientifically the precursors of crises to tackle it not in a random way, after providing the correct information in the proper time as it is the scientific basis for the diagnosing process, taking into account the environment of the diagnosing process and dealing with it in accordance with its discipline and systems. Each environment has its appropriate solutions that can predict its crises and treat it according to rule that says similar symptoms do not mean similar diseases. Establishing specialized canters for disasters and crises managing has become a strategic need to tackle the incidents of the 21stcentury and to train the policing cadres to deal with it. Dear policemen, Therefore, predicting crises is a strategic need and it has an urgent need in our life. We need to convene conferences and forums, design training programs, utilize the recent technology to face crises and disasters taking into account the higher administration programs, launch specialized training sources for the staff members to tackle crises and disasters professionally under various conditions as well as the importance paying attention to media in the time of crises. The media has a major role in delivering the correct and real message through delivering it timely which is an important factor in the successful dealing with crises, so that media has an essential role in the prediction process of crises, and to exert efforts to face them before they happen and cause damages.


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